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Madison Cawthorn earned 66% of the votes over Lynda Bennett’s 34% to win the Republican nomination for the 11th congressional district in Tuesday’s second primary in 17 Western North Carolina counties according to unofficial results.
In the southeast, Chris Smith led with 61% of the vote in the vote redo for the Republican nomination for District 2 county commissioner in Columbus County. Mack Ward was in second place with 37% and W. Bernard White in third with 2%.
There are no outstanding absentee by-mail ballots in the Columbus County race and not enough in the 11th District to change the outcome.
[The latest: North Carolina coronavirus daily updates]
While the purpose of an election is to select winners, Tuesday’s vote also marked an important step toward November’s potentially complicated election in North Carolina. Eighteen counties in two parts of the state conducted their first election during the COVID-19 pandemic.
The first case of COVID-19 in North Carolina was confirmed on the same day as the statewide primaries, March 3. The administrative processes that occur after every election were slightly hampered due to COVID-19 precautions, though the conditions were nothing like those in place on Tuesday.
In addition to the pandemic, heavy storms passed through Western North Carolina on Tuesday, likely affecting election day turnout.
Lessons for November election
Tuesday’s elections were the first conducted in North Carolina during any global pandemic since the 1918 flu. They were also the first since Gov. Roy Cooper signed into law a bi-partislan bill to help the state run elections during the pandemic.
This election is a learning opportunity, according to Robert Inman, Haywood County’s election director.
His first lesson? He needs more precinct officials.
“Obtaining precinct officials is the largest hurdle that we’ve tried to overcome,” Inman said.
Inman and Cliff Marr, elections director for Polk County, both said they are running the election with the minimum number of poll workers.
“We have the minimum number of people we could possibly by statute to conduct an election with, in place today,” Inman said Tuesday.
“Now, we need many more people before going into October, November.”
Poll workers can be nominated by political parties. Inman said the political parties are going to need to work hard to get the needed number of poll workers in place to carry off the November election, in addition to county efforts.
The recent legal changes will give counties more flexibility on assigning poll workers to different precincts, but recruitment remains a serious problem.
COVID-19 is more dangerous to people over 60 years old, and many of North Carolina’s poll workers have traditionally been in that high-risk group.
Inman’s second lesson is about space. When voters and poll workers have to stay six feet apart, polling places need to be in bigger buildings.
No lines occurred for early voting or on Tuesday for the five elections officials CPP interviewed, but Inman cautioned that going into the fall will be “a completely different set of circumstances.” He is expecting record turnout in the November election.
Problems of scale — like lots of voters causing long lines, backlogs of absentee by mail ballots or processing of those ballots — were not at play on Tuesday.
Participation in the second primary was limited to registered Republicans and to unaffiliated voters who voted in the Republican nomination during the first primary. As in most second primaries, turnout was low.
What will happen to lines when everyone has to be spaced apart during the general election?
Inman is worried about space management both inside the polling places and around them.
For example, he is considering polling places where he can manage lines to prevent people queueing in parking lots or across driveways, which is a safety hazard.
The increase in absentee by-mail voting is perhaps the biggest change anticipated for North Carolina’s elections during the COVID-19 outbreak.
Counties around the state are already reporting higher numbers of absentee ballot requests for the November election, with Marr anticipating at least a three-fold increase, and the State Board of Elections projecting much more.
But elections directors in congressional district 11 didn’t see a swell in those requests for Tuesday’s vote, which means that some of the logistical hurdles seen with lots of by-mail ballots did not surface during the second primary.
For example, even though the elections are mathematically decided based on the small number of requested mail-in ballots that haven’t been returned, county boards of elections can accept absentee ballots that arrive as late as Friday if they are postmarked by the end of the day on Tuesday.
While Tuesday’s outcomes weren’t close, in close elections, those additional ballots that are not counted on election night can sway the outcome of an election.
In November, those ballots could number in the thousands for a single county and could have a major impact on local or county-wide elections, if not statewide results.
CPP spoke to the election directors for Clay, Madison, Polk, Haywood and Transylvania counties. Each praised the State Board of Elections for providing personal protective equipment for polling places and for answering county questions in a quickly changing environment, in the state’s first major test for running elections during a pandemic.
Tuesday’s election results
In the 11th District, since no candidate earned more than 30% of the vote on Super Tuesday, the two top finishers were were forced into the second primary.
Originally scheduled for May, concerns over the new coronavirus outbreak delayed the election over a month.
Cawthorn will face Moe Davis, the Democratic nominee, in November’s election. The winner will take the U.S. House seat previously held by Mark Meadows, who resigned on March 30 and is now President Donald Trump’s chief of staff.
The district, like several other congressional districts across the state, includes some different voters in different locations from previous elections over the last decade, due to a court-mandated redistricting last year. Large portions of Buncombe County, which leans heavily Democratic, were added to the district, which could make the race more friendly for Democrats than before.
However, Buncombe is by far the most populous county in the region and despite the Democratic tilt also has more Republican voters than any other county in Western North Carolina. This may have benefited Cawthorn, who resides in adjacent Henderson County. His campaign was clearly aware of the importance of Buncombe Republican votes and sent one of the candidate’s top representatives, his mother Priscilla Cawthorn, to campaign for him at the Enka/Candler Library polling place, one of the top Republican turnout areas in the region in past primary elections.
In the March primary, Cawthorn finished second behind Bennett, who is a friend of Meadows and was endorsed by him. Bennett closely aligned herself with Trump and included his endorsement prominently on her websites, though Cawthorn also campaigned as a supporter of the president.
Columbus County, in the southeast corner of the state, redid its Republican primary election for county commissioner, district 2. After the March primary, election audits found that 10 voters were given ballots with the District 2 contest, but were not eligible to vote in that contest. The margin of victory was only four votes, so the primary had to be run again.
In both the 11th District second primary and the Columbus County redo election, all absentee by mail ballots appropriately received on Tuesday through Friday will be counted in July, before election results are made official on July 6. That count will also include approved provisional ballots and military votes. However, both outcomes are clear enough that they will only provide a definitive count of the margin of victory for Cawthorn and Smith.
Running an election campaign during a pandemic
The COVID-19 pandemic has altered the election for the politicians, just as it has for voters and election officials.
When Cooper issued stay-at-home orders, the campaigns went digital.
Davis, the Democratic nominee in the 11th District who will not face the voters again until this fall, launched twice-weekly Facebook Live events.
In addition to increasing their online presences, both Bennett and Cawthorn began hosting in-person campaign events after the state moved to “Phase 2” of its reopening plan.
Davis’ campaign, too, said it would start meeting people in person again if the governor continues to relax restrictions.
Health experts say holding campaign events outside is generally safer than indoors, as transmission of the new coronavirus is less likely in open air and social distancing may be practiced more easily. Each candidate held many campaign events outside, according to press releases and their websites.
That may limit campaigning, as it could make it more difficult to find venues, and make events subject to weather through the summer, during hurricane season and into cooler days in October and November.
Bennett’s and Cawthorn’s campaigns did not respond to emails requesting comment.